FC Sion vs FC Lugano: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stade de Tourbillon, Sion
The Footlab model makes FC Sion the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Lugano. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Sion vs FC Lugano?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate FC Sion (2,004) and FC Lugano (2,032).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Sion have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; FC Lugano have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Ajax(home) | 2-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kerzers(away) | 6-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | FC Noah(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Vaduz(home) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Noah(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv(home) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Vedeggio(away) | 10-1 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | NSI Runavik(away) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Zurich(home) | 5-0 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | NSI Runavik(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FC Sion win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 FC Lugano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | FC Sion 2-2 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Mar 4, 2026 | FC Lugano 2-1 FC Sion | Super League |
| Nov 29, 2025 | FC Lugano 1-1 FC Sion | Super League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | FC Sion 4-0 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | FC Sion 2-1 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FC Lugano 3-2 FC Sion | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Sion score 2.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; FC Lugano score 3.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sion | 2.9 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| FC Lugano | 3.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Sion sit 5th in Super League (6 points from 3 matches) and FC Lugano sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 5 | FC Sion | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Sion vs FC Lugano?
- The Footlab model makes FC Sion the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for FC Lugano.
- Where and when is FC Sion vs FC Lugano played?
- FC Sion vs FC Lugano is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stade de Tourbillon, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.