FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland: prediction and stats
UEFA Europa Conference LeaguePlayoff roundKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)kybunpark, St. Gallen
The Footlab model makes FC ST. Gallen the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for FC Nordsjaelland. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate FC ST. Gallen (2,054) and FC Nordsjaelland (2,061).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC ST. Gallen have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; FC Nordsjaelland have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Thalwil(away) | 3-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Luzern(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Vaduz(away) | 3-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Silkeborg(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(home) | 5-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Valur Reykjavik(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Randers FC(home) | 1-0 | Superliga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Gais(home) | 6-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC ST. Gallen score 2.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; FC Nordsjaelland score 2.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC ST. Gallen | 2.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| FC Nordsjaelland | 2.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | FC ST. Gallen | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland?
- The Footlab model makes FC ST. Gallen the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for FC Nordsjaelland.
- Where and when is FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland played?
- FC ST. Gallen vs FC Nordsjaelland is played on August 27, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at kybunpark, in the UEFA Europa Conference League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.