FC Thun vs FC Lugano: result 5-2 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 24Kick-off on March 12, 2017 at 12:45 PM (UTC)Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Full time
What was the result of FC Thun vs FC Lugano?
FC Thun won 5-2 on March 12, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 6′C. FassnachtFC Thun
- 25′S. RappFC Thun (pen.)
- 29′C. FassnachtFC Thun
- 45′S. RappFC Thun (pen.)
- 65′D. SorgićFC Thun
- 87′Carlinhos JúniorFC Lugano
- 88′A. SadikuFC Lugano
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Thun have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; FC Lugano have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | BSC Young Boys(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Feb 25, 2017 | FC Vaduz(home) | 4-3 | Super League |
| Feb 18, 2017 | FC Luzern(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Feb 11, 2017 | FC Basel 1893(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Grasshoppers(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2017 | Lausanne(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Feb 26, 2017 | FC ST. Gallen(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Feb 19, 2017 | FC Vaduz(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Feb 11, 2017 | Grasshoppers(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
| Feb 4, 2017 | FC Basel 1893(away) | 0-4 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 FC Thun win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 FC Lugano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2016 | FC Lugano 1-1 FC Thun | Super League |
| Sep 25, 2016 | FC Thun 2-2 FC Lugano | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Thun score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; FC Lugano score 1.2 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Thun | 1.5 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| FC Lugano | 1.2 | 2.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Thun sit 9th in Super League (3 points from 3 matches) and FC Lugano sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy