FC Thun vs FC Lugano: result 2-2 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 9Kick-off on September 25, 2016 at 11:45 AM (UTC)Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Full time
What was the result of FC Thun vs FC Lugano?
FC Thun and FC Lugano drew 2-2 on September 25, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 55′D. HedigerFC Thun
- 58′J. SabbatiniFC Lugano
- 63′E. AlioskiFC Lugano
- 66′C. FassnachtFC Thun
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, FC Thun have 2 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; FC Lugano have 4, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2016 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Sep 11, 2016 | FC Sion(away) | 0-1 | Super League |
| Aug 28, 2016 | FC Basel 1893(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 21, 2016 | FC Luzern(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 11, 2016 | Grasshoppers(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2016 | Grasshoppers(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Sep 11, 2016 | FC ST. Gallen(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Aug 27, 2016 | Lausanne(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 20, 2016 | FC Basel 1893(away) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Aug 10, 2016 | FC Sion(home) | 3-1 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Thun score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 14; FC Lugano score 1.5 and concede 1.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Thun | 1.3 | 2.1 | 1 | 10/14 | 10/14 |
| FC Lugano | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2 | 5/8 | 4/8 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Thun sit 9th in Super League (3 points from 3 matches) and FC Lugano sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy