FC Thun vs FC Lugano: result 1-1 and analysis
Super LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 26, 2018 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stockhorn Arena, Thun
Full time
What was the result of FC Thun vs FC Lugano?
FC Thun and FC Lugano drew 1-1 on August 26, 2018.
Goalscorers
- 51′F. DaprelàFC Lugano
- 52′G. KarlenFC Thun
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Thun have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; FC Lugano have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2018 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(away) | 5-1 | Super League |
| Aug 5, 2018 | FC ST. Gallen(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Jul 29, 2018 | FC Luzern(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Jul 22, 2018 | FC Zurich(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| May 19, 2018 | FC Sion(home) | 1-4 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2018 | Grasshoppers(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 4, 2018 | FC Luzern(away) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Jul 29, 2018 | BSC Young Boys(home) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Jul 22, 2018 | FC Sion(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 19, 2018 | FC Zurich(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Thun win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC Lugano win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2018 | FC Lugano 1-1 FC Thun | Super League |
| Dec 16, 2017 | FC Thun 0-2 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Nov 5, 2017 | FC Thun 1-1 FC Lugano | Super League |
| Aug 26, 2017 | FC Lugano 4-1 FC Thun | Super League |
| Apr 17, 2017 | FC Lugano 2-1 FC Thun | Super League |
| Mar 12, 2017 | FC Thun 5-2 FC Lugano | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Thun score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Lugano score 1.3 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Thun | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| FC Lugano | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Thun sit 9th in Super League (3 points from 3 matches) and FC Lugano sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | FC Lugano | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Thun | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy