FC Vaduz vs FC Luzern: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Rheinpark Stadion
The Footlab model makes FC Vaduz the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for FC Luzern. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Vaduz vs FC Luzern?
A very open match: only 89 Elo points separate FC Vaduz (1,856) and FC Luzern (1,945).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Vaduz have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; FC Luzern have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | BSC Young Boys(away) | 2-4 | Super League |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Inter Turku(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Inter Turku(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(home) | 2-3 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lausanne(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Buochs(away) | 3-0 | Schweizer Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC ST. Gallen(away) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | FC Sion(away) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | FC Thun(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Vaduz win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 FC Luzern win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2024 | FC Vaduz 1-0 FC Luzern | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 2, 2022 | FC Luzern 4-1 FC Vaduz | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 1, 2021 | FC Vaduz 1-2 FC Luzern | Super League |
| Feb 24, 2021 | FC Vaduz 1-1 FC Luzern | Super League |
| Feb 14, 2021 | FC Luzern 4-0 FC Vaduz | Super League |
| Nov 21, 2020 | FC Luzern 1-1 FC Vaduz | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
FC Vaduz score 1.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; FC Luzern score 2.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Vaduz | 1.8 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
| FC Luzern | 2.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Vaduz sit 12th in Super League (0 points from 4 matches) and FC Luzern sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Luzern | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 4 |
| 12 | FC Vaduz | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Vaduz vs FC Luzern?
- The Footlab model makes FC Vaduz the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for FC Luzern.
- Where and when is FC Vaduz vs FC Luzern played?
- FC Vaduz vs FC Luzern is played on January 23, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Rheinpark Stadion, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.