Fermana vs Ancona: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie C - Girone BGirone B - 27Kick-off on February 12, 2023 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Bruno Recchioni, Fermo
Full time
What was the result of Fermana vs Ancona?
Fermana won 2-1 on February 12, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 7′S. NegliaFermana
- 12′F. MelchiorriAncona (pen.)
- 39′M. FischnallerFermana (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fermana have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ancona have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | Virtus Entella(away) | 0-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jan 31, 2023 | Olbia(away) | 4-2 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Montevarchi Calcio(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Cesena(away) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Recanatese(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | Reggiana(home) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jan 31, 2023 | Montevarchi Calcio(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jan 28, 2023 | Vis Pesaro(home) | 1-1 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jan 22, 2023 | Gubbio(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Fiorenzuola(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Fermana win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ancona win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2022 | Ancona 2-1 Fermana | Serie C - Girone B |
| Mar 6, 2022 | Fermana 1-0 Ancona | Serie C - Girone B |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Ancona 1-2 Fermana | Serie C - Girone B |
How many goals should we expect?
Fermana score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ancona score 1.5 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fermana | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Ancona | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy