Ferroviária vs Águia Negra: result 6-2 and analysis
Copa Do Brasil2nd RoundKick-off on February 26, 2020 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros, Araraquara, São Paulo
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What was the result of Ferroviária vs Águia Negra?
Ferroviária won 6-2 on February 26, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 8′HenanFerroviária
- 19′Salomão Luciano NazaréÁguia Negra
- 34′Antônio de Moura CarvalhoFerroviária (pen.)
- 45′ClaudinhoFerroviária
- 45′ClaudinhoFerroviária
- 60′Maximiliano Lelis RodriguesFerroviária
- 83′Pedro Henrique IsidoroÁguia Negra
- 90′Caio Rangel da SilvaFerroviária
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviária have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Águia Negra have 7, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2020 | Ponte Preta(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Santos(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 13, 2020 | Avai(home) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Água Santa(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Oeste(away) | 5-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2020 | Aquidauanense(home) | 2-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 16, 2020 | Costa Rica (away) | 2-2 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 13, 2020 | Sampaio Correa(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Feb 9, 2020 | Corumbaense(home) | 2-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Comercial MS(away) | 2-1 | Sul-Matogrossense |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviária score 0.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Águia Negra score 1.4 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | 0.9 | 0.7 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Águia Negra | 1.4 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/14 | 9/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy