Ferroviária vs Athletic Club: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie DSemi-finalsKick-off on September 6, 2023 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros, Araraquara, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Ferroviária vs Athletic Club?
Ferroviária won 1-0 on September 6, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 80′BatistaFerroviária
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviária have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Athletic Club have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2023 | Sousa(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Sousa(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 20, 2023 | Anápolis(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Anápolis(home) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Hercílio Luz(away) | 2-2 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2023 | Bahia de Feira(home) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Bahia de Feira(away) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 19, 2023 | Camboriú(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Camboriú(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Brasiliense(home) | 0-0 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviária score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Athletic Club score 1.3 and concede 0.4.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | 1.4 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Athletic Club | 1.3 | 0.4 | 10 | 2/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy