Ferroviária vs Grêmio Prudente: result 3-1 and analysis
Paulista - A21st Phase - 15Kick-off on March 8, 2025 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros, Araraquara, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Ferroviária vs Grêmio Prudente?
Ferroviária won 3-1 on March 8, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 40′Ian LuccasFerroviária
- 45′Diego QuirinoFerroviária
- 74′Vitor BragaGrêmio Prudente
- 78′RonaldoFerroviária (pen.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviária have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Grêmio Prudente have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Rio Claro(away) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Sao Bento(away) | 2-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Portuguesa Santista(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | XV de Piracicaba(away) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 16, 2025 | São José EC(home) | 0-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Santo André(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Rio Claro(away) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Taubaté(home) | 1-2 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 19, 2025 | Juventus(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Linense(home) | 2-1 | Paulista - A2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviária score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Grêmio Prudente score 1.2 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | 1.4 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Grêmio Prudente | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferroviária sit 2nd in Paulista - A2 (28 points from 15 matches) and Grêmio Prudente sit 15th (12 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ferroviária | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 12 | 28 |
| 15 | Grêmio Prudente | 15 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 12 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy