Ferroviária vs Hercílio Luz: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie DRound of 32Kick-off on July 29, 2023 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros, Araraquara, São Paulo
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What was the result of Ferroviária vs Hercílio Luz?
Ferroviária and Hercílio Luz drew 1-1 on July 29, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 37′Vitor BarretoFerroviária
- 71′Rafael LimaHercílio Luz
Official lineup for Ferroviária vs Hercílio Luz
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ferroviária
- MMarcos Nunes
- PPilar
- VVitor Barreto
- PPaulinho Santos
- PPablo
- TThomaz
- RRonaldo Alves
- MMaílson
- VVitor Ricardo
- CChico Bala
- SSaulo
Hercílio Luz
- JJuliano
- GGiovani
- LLeozinho
- FFelipe Menezes
- JJonathan Cabeça
- IIgor Silva
- RRafael Lima
- WWallace
- CCleiton
- KKaike
- RRafael Pin
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviária have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Hercílio Luz have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2023 | Operario Ferroviario(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Maringá(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Inter De Limeira(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 1, 2023 | XV de Piracicaba(home) | 4-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 24, 2023 | CRAC(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2023 | Aimoré(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Novo Hamburgo(away) | 5-5 | Serie D |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Independiente FSJ(home) | 3-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Camboriú(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Concórdia(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviária score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hercílio Luz score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Hercílio Luz | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy