Ferroviária vs Hercílio Luz: result 1-1 and analysis
Serie DRound of 32Kick-off on July 29, 2023 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros, Araraquara, São Paulo
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What was the result of Ferroviária vs Hercílio Luz?
Ferroviária and Hercílio Luz drew 1-1 on July 29, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 37′Vitor BarretoFerroviária
- 71′Rafael LimaHercílio Luz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviária have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Hercílio Luz have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2023 | Operario Ferroviario(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 15, 2023 | Maringá(home) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Inter De Limeira(away) | 0-1 | Serie D |
| Jul 1, 2023 | XV de Piracicaba(home) | 4-2 | Serie D |
| Jun 24, 2023 | CRAC(away) | 1-0 | Serie D |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2023 | Aimoré(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 16, 2023 | Novo Hamburgo(away) | 5-5 | Serie D |
| Jul 8, 2023 | Independiente FSJ(home) | 3-0 | Serie D |
| Jul 1, 2023 | Camboriú(away) | 1-1 | Serie D |
| Jun 24, 2023 | Concórdia(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviária score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hercílio Luz score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | 1.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Hercílio Luz | 1.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy