Ferroviária vs Marília: result 0-1 and analysis
Copa PaulistaQuarter-finalsKick-off on December 6, 2020 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros, Araraquara, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Ferroviária vs Marília?
Marília won 0-1 on December 6, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 15′LuanMarília
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviária have 7 wins, 7 draws and 1 defeats; Marília have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2020 | Marcílio Dias(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Dec 3, 2020 | Botafogo SP B(away) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 29, 2020 | Botafogo SP B(home) | 1-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Nacional PR(home) | 2-0 | Serie D |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Comercial(home) | 1-1 | Copa Paulista |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2020 | Velo Clube(home) | 3-2 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 28, 2020 | Velo Clube(away) | 0-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 25, 2020 | Botafogo SP B(away) | 2-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Novorizontino(home) | 3-0 | Copa Paulista |
| Nov 18, 2020 | Rio Preto(away) | 1-2 | Copa Paulista |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviária score 1.1 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Marília score 1.9 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | 1.1 | 0.4 | 9 | 5/15 | 2/15 |
| Marília | 1.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy