Ferroviária vs Nautico Recife: result 2-1 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 4Kick-off on May 12, 2024 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros, Araraquara, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Ferroviária vs Nautico Recife?
Ferroviária won 2-1 on May 12, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 30′JuninhoFerroviária
- 90′ThalissinhoNautico Recife
- 90′Pedro PauloFerroviária
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviária have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Nautico Recife have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2024 | Floresta(away) | 4-1 | Serie C |
| Apr 28, 2024 | CSA(away) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Apr 22, 2024 | ABC(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Mar 27, 2024 | Juventus(home) | 0-0 | Paulista - A2 |
| Mar 24, 2024 | Juventus(away) | 1-1 | Paulista - A2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2024 | ABC(away) | 3-0 | Serie C |
| Apr 21, 2024 | São Bernardo(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Apr 11, 2024 | Bahia(away) | 0-3 | Copa do Nordeste |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Sport Recife(away) | 0-0 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Sport Recife(home) | 0-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviária score 1.1 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Nautico Recife score 0.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | 1.1 | 0.7 | 6 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
| Nautico Recife | 0.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ferroviária | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 15 | 27 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy