Ferroviária vs Real Noroeste: result 1-2 and analysis
Serie D1st Phase - 3Kick-off on April 30, 2022 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Doutor Adhemar de Barros, Araraquara, São Paulo
Full time
What was the result of Ferroviária vs Real Noroeste?
Real Noroeste won 1-2 on April 30, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 24′Rodrigo Oberdan PaganelliReal Noroeste
- 33′MichelFerroviária (pen.)
- 70′Matheus VieiraReal Noroeste
Official lineup for Ferroviária vs Real Noroeste
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ferroviária
- MMichel
- WWelinton Torrão
- RRafael Costa
- VVitinho
- BBruno Xavier
- TThomaz
- CCarlão
- BBreno Lopes
- JJeferson
- LLéo Silva
- JJefferson Paulino
Real Noroeste
- MMarcudinho
- MMatheus Vieira
- OOscar Delvino Fernandes Junior
- BBruno Menezes
- MMateus Lima
- PPedro Botelho
- VVinicius Leandro
- RRodrigo Oberdan Paganelli
- LLéo Carioca
- LLeonardo Ferreira Sobreira
- WWaldson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferroviária have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Real Noroeste have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | Bahia de Feira(away) | 0-0 | Serie D |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Uniao Trabalhadores(home) | 8-0 | Serie D |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Inter De Limeira(home) | 1-1 | Paulista - A1 |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Mirassol(home) | 2-0 | Paulista - A1 |
| Mar 16, 2022 | Santos(home) | 3-3 | Paulista - A1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2022 | Vitória ES(away) | 0-0 | Capixaba |
| Apr 24, 2022 | Caldense(home) | 2-1 | Serie D |
| Apr 21, 2022 | Serra Talhada(away) | 2-0 | Capixaba |
| Apr 17, 2022 | Pouso Alegre(away) | 1-2 | Serie D |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Serra Talhada(home) | 0-2 | Capixaba |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferroviária score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Real Noroeste score 1.3 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferroviária | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Real Noroeste | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Real Noroeste | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Ferroviária vs Real Noroeste?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy