Ferrymead Bays vs Nelson Suburbs: result 1-2 and analysis
National League - SouthernSouthern League - 6Kick-off on April 30, 2022 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Ferrymead Park, Christchurch
Full time
What was the result of Ferrymead Bays vs Nelson Suburbs?
Nelson Suburbs won 1-2 on April 30, 2022.
Goalscorers
- 19′S. WallaceNelson Suburbs
- 23′M. WhiteFerrymead Bays
- 33′S. WallaceNelson Suburbs
Official lineup for Ferrymead Bays vs Nelson Suburbs
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Ferrymead Bays
- WW. Pierce
- RR. Stanley
- KK. Oikawa
- MM. White
- CC. Murphy
- JJ. Deehan
- FF. Joseph
- EE. Panzer
- LL. Bush
- DD. Metherell
- CC. Turipa
Nelson Suburbs
- EE. Sillars
- NN. Platt
- JJ. McPhie
- SS. Wallace
- JJ. Yong
- PPan Labu
- CC. Larsen
- HH. Cadigan
- JJ. Carter
- LL. Hogg
- CC. Wilson
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 5 matches in all competitions, Ferrymead Bays have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Nelson Suburbs have 3, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2022 | Coastal Spirit(home) | 2-2 | National League - Southern |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Dunedin City Royals(away) | 3-2 | National League - Southern |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Christchurch United(home) | 2-3 | National League - Southern |
| Apr 2, 2022 | Mosgiel(away) | 3-1 | National League - Southern |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Cashmere Technical(home) | 0-2 | National League - Southern |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | Dunedin City Royals(home) | 3-0 | National League - Southern |
| Apr 16, 2022 | Christchurch United(away) | 0-4 | National League - Southern |
| Apr 10, 2022 | Mosgiel(home) | 3-0 | National League - Southern |
| Mar 26, 2022 | Green Island(home) | 3-1 | National League - Southern |
How many goals should we expect?
Ferrymead Bays score 2.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 5; Nelson Suburbs score 2.3 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferrymead Bays | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0 | 4/5 | 4/5 |
| Nelson Suburbs | 2.3 | 1.3 | 2 | 1/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 5 matches in all competitions.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy