Filiaşi vs Minerul Lupeni: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 6Group 6 - 8Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Orășenesc Filiași, Filiaşi
The Footlab model makes Minerul Lupeni the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Filiaşi. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Filiaşi vs Minerul Lupeni?
Minerul Lupeni starts as the favourite with a 276-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,331).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Filiaşi have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Minerul Lupeni have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Oltul Curtişoara(home) | 3-3 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | U Craiova 1948(away) | 5-0 | Cupa României |
| May 15, 2026 | Oltul Curtişoara(home) | 1-4 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 8, 2026 | Alexandria(away) | 0-2 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| May 1, 2026 | CSL Nanov(home) | 3-1 | Liga III - Serie 5 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(home) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Caransebes(away) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| May 30, 2026 | Unirea Alba Iulia(home) | 0-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 23, 2026 | CS U Craiova II(away) | 3-0 | Liga III - Play-offs |
How many goals should we expect?
Filiaşi score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Minerul Lupeni score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filiaşi | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Minerul Lupeni | 1.3 | 0.5 | 11 | 2/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Minerul Lupeni | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Filiaşi vs Minerul Lupeni?
- The Footlab model makes Minerul Lupeni the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Filiaşi.
- Where and when is Filiaşi vs Minerul Lupeni played?
- Filiaşi vs Minerul Lupeni is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Orășenesc Filiași, in the Liga III - Serie 6.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.