Finland vs Croatia: result 0-1 and analysis
World Cup - Qualification Europe1st Round - 3Kick-off on October 9, 2016 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Helsingin olympiastadion, Helsingfors
Full time
What was the result of Finland vs Croatia?
Croatia won 0-1 on October 9, 2016.
Goalscorers
- 18′M. MandžukićCroatia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 2 matches in all competitions, Finland have 0 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Croatia have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2016 | Iceland(away) | 2-3 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2016 | Kosovo(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2016 | Kosovo(away) | 6-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Sep 5, 2016 | Türkiye(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 25, 2016 | Portugal(home) | 0-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 21, 2016 | Spain(home) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 17, 2016 | Czechia(away) | 2-2 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Finland score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 2; Croatia score 1.7 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finland | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0 | 2/2 | 1/2 |
| Croatia | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 2 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Finland sit 3rd in World Cup - Qualification Europe (10 points from 8 matches) and Croatia sit 1st (22 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Croatia | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 4 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 10 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy