FK Crvena Zvezda vs Železničar Pančevo: prediction and stats
Super LigaRegular Season - 18Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Rajko Mitić, Beograd
The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Železničar Pančevo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FK Crvena Zvezda vs Železničar Pančevo?
FK Crvena Zvezda starts as the favourite with a 298-point Elo edge (2,048 vs 1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Crvena Zvezda have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Železničar Pančevo have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cukaricki(home) | 4-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Plzen(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Novi Pazar(home) | 2-0 | Super Liga |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vojvodina(away) | 0-1 | Super Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | OFK Beograd(away) | 2-2 | Super Liga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Mladost Lucani(home) | 0-0 | Super Liga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | SC Braga(away) | 0-4 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 22, 2026 | SC Braga(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 FK Crvena Zvezda win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Železničar Pančevo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 22, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo 2-2 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Železničar Pančevo 0-3 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| Sep 14, 2025 | FK Crvena Zvezda 7-1 Železničar Pančevo | Super Liga |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Železničar Pančevo 1-3 FK Crvena Zvezda | Super Liga |
| Sep 27, 2024 | FK Crvena Zvezda 2-1 Železničar Pančevo | Super Liga |
| Apr 14, 2024 | FK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 Železničar Pančevo | Super Liga |
Last archived meeting: Železničar Pančevo vs FK Crvena Zvezda on Apr 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FK Crvena Zvezda score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Železničar Pančevo score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Crvena Zvezda | 2.1 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Železničar Pančevo | 0.9 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Crvena Zvezda sit 1st in Super Liga (12 points from 4 matches) and Železničar Pančevo sit 11th (5 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Železničar Pančevo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Železničar Pančevo?
- The Footlab model makes FK Crvena Zvezda the favourite at 79%, against 14% for a draw and 7% for Železničar Pančevo.
- Where and when is FK Crvena Zvezda vs Železničar Pančevo played?
- FK Crvena Zvezda vs Železničar Pančevo is played on December 6, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Rajko Mitić, in the Super Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.