FK Partizan vs Neftchi Baku: result 3-2 and analysis
UEFA Europa LeaguePlay-offsKick-off on August 21, 2014 at 06:15 PM (UTC)Stadion Partizana, Beograd
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What was the result of FK Partizan vs Neftchi Baku?
FK Partizan won 3-2 on August 21, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 11′Dênis Silva CruzNeftchi Baku
- 17′Dênis Silva CruzNeftchi Baku
- 29′Dênis Silva CruzFK Partizan (o.g.)
- 32′P. GrbićFK Partizan
- 69′E. YunuszadəFK Partizan (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Partizan have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Neftchi Baku have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2014 | Ludogorets(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 30, 2014 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 22, 2014 | HB Torshavn(away) | 3-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 15, 2014 | HB Torshavn(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 6, 2013 | Ludogorets(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2014 | Bakı(home) | 1-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Aug 7, 2014 | Chikhura Sachkhere(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 31, 2014 | Chikhura Sachkhere(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 24, 2014 | Koper(away) | 2-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Jul 17, 2014 | Koper(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
How many goals should we expect?
FK Partizan score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Neftchi Baku score 1.3 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Partizan | 1.3 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Neftchi Baku | 1.3 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy