FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kairat Almaty: result 1-3 and analysis
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on July 26, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Ortalyq stadıon, Kostanay
Full time
What was the result of FK Tobol Kostanay vs Kairat Almaty?
Kairat Almaty won 1-3 on July 26, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 45′JorginhoKairat Almaty
- 68′V. GromykoKairat Almaty
- 76′A. El MessaoudiFK Tobol Kostanay (pen.)
- 89′RicardinhoKairat Almaty
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FK Tobol Kostanay have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Kairat Almaty have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 20, 2025 | Aktobe(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Okzhetpes(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Yelimay Semey(away) | 3-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Zhenys(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Zhenys(home) | 2-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2025 | KuPS(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Kaisar(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 15, 2025 | Olimpija Ljubljana(home) | 2-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 8, 2025 | Olimpija Ljubljana(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Turan Turkistan(home) | 4-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 FK Tobol Kostanay win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Kairat Almaty win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2025 | Kairat Almaty 2-1 FK Tobol Kostanay | Premier League |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Kairat Almaty 2-2 FK Tobol Kostanay | Premier League |
| Jun 15, 2024 | FK Tobol Kostanay 1-0 Kairat Almaty | Premier League |
| Aug 13, 2023 | Kairat Almaty 2-1 FK Tobol Kostanay | Premier League |
| May 6, 2023 | FK Tobol Kostanay 2-3 Kairat Almaty | Premier League |
| Sep 5, 2022 | Kairat Almaty 2-3 FK Tobol Kostanay | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Kairat Almaty vs FK Tobol Kostanay on Apr 27, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
FK Tobol Kostanay score 2.0 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kairat Almaty score 1.5 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Tobol Kostanay | 2.0 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Kairat Almaty | 1.5 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FK Tobol Kostanay sit 9th in Premier League (25 points from 21 matches) and Kairat Almaty sit 2nd (48 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 21 | 14 | 6 | 1 | 42 | 15 | 48 |
| 9 | FK Tobol Kostanay | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 23 | 28 | 25 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy