Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev: prediction and stats
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 26Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Sportland Arena, Tallinn
The Footlab model makes Flora II the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Tallinna Kalev. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Flora II (1,391) and Tallinna Kalev (1,404).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Flora II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Tallinna Kalev have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viimsi(home) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tartu Welco(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Tallinn(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 5-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Elva(home) | 1-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Tartu Kalev(home) | 8-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 1-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Viimsi(away) | 2-1 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Flora II win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tallinna Kalev win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 14, 2026 | Flora II 3-1 Tallinna Kalev | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev 1-4 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Jan 18, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev 3-1 Flora II | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 16, 2021 | Tallinna Kalev 1-0 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 7, 2021 | Tallinna Kalev 1-1 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Flora II 1-5 Tallinna Kalev | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev on Jun 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Flora II score 2.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Tallinna Kalev score 2.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora II | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Tallinna Kalev | 2.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Flora II sit 3rd in Esiliiga A (26 points from 13 matches) and Tallinna Kalev sit 5th (18 points from 16 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Flora II | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 36 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | Flora II | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 57 | 42 | 40 |
| 5 | Tallinna Kalev | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 32 | 18 |
| 5 | Tallinna Kalev | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 42 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev?
- The Footlab model makes Flora II the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Tallinna Kalev.
- Where and when is Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev played?
- Flora II vs Tallinna Kalev is played on August 29, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Sportland Arena, in the Esiliiga A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.