Fluminense vs Bahia: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 5Kick-off on June 18, 2011 at 09:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Jornalista Mário Filho (Maracanã), Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Fluminense vs Bahia?
Bahia won 0-1 on June 18, 2011.
Goalscorers
- 90′Jobson Leandro Pereira de OliveiraBahia
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fluminense have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Bahia have 0, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2011 | Corinthians(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Jun 4, 2011 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2011 | Atletico Goianiense(away) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2011 | Sao Paulo(home) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Nov 28, 2010 | Palmeiras(away) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2011 | Atletico-MG(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Jun 5, 2011 | Gremio(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| May 29, 2011 | Flamengo(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| May 22, 2011 | America Mineiro(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Fluminense score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Bahia score 1.3 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Bahia | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0 | 3/4 | 2/4 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fluminense sit 4th in Serie A (41 points from 24 matches) and Bahia sit 6th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36 | 29 | 41 |
| 6 | Bahia | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34 | 28 | 37 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy