Forest Green vs Carlisle: result 0-1 and analysis
League TwoRegular Season - 23Kick-off on December 23, 2017 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Bolt New Lawn, Nailsworth, Gloucestershire
Full time
What was the result of Forest Green vs Carlisle?
Carlisle won 0-1 on December 23, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 28′R. BennettCarlisle
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forest Green have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Carlisle have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | Luton(home) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Dec 12, 2017 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Dec 9, 2017 | Grimsby(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Dec 5, 2017 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Exeter City(home) | 3-3 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2017 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Dec 16, 2017 | Port Vale(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Dec 9, 2017 | Newport County(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Dec 2, 2017 | Gillingham(away) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 25, 2017 | Morecambe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Forest Green score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Carlisle score 1.7 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Green | 1.2 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Carlisle | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy