Match

Forge vs Atlético Ottawa: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on November 7, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Hamilton Stadium, Hamilton

ForgeAtlético Ottawa

The Footlab AI model makes Forge the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Atlético Ottawa. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,449 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Forge vs Atlético Ottawa?

Forge starts as the favourite with a 109-point Elo edge (1,802 vs 1,693).

62%23%15%
Forge winDrawAtlético Ottawa win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Forge vs Atlético Ottawa

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Forge

4-2-3-1
  1. 7I. Oketokoun
  1. 23A. Aromatario
  2. 87M. Bourgeois
  3. 8A. Batisse
  4. 22N. Jensen
  5. 6B. Paton
  1. 24R. Rama
  2. 5D. Nimick
  3. 3M. Jevremović
  4. 4D. Krutzen
  1. 16D. Bertaud

Atlético Ottawa

4-2-3-1
  1. 21N. Fleuriau Chateau
  1. 10M. Aparicio
  2. 13B. Tabla
  3. 6D. Gutiérrez
  4. 7E. García
  5. 30K. Habibullah
  1. 37T. Arnaud
  2. 20Joaquim Coulanges
  3. 3J. Dunn-Johnson
  4. 84Sergei Kozlovskiy
  1. 31C. Kalongo

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 09:44 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forge have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat; Atlético Ottawa have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Forge
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Atlético Ottawa(away)2-2Canadian Premier League
Oct 25, 2026Pacific FC(away)1-1Canadian Premier League
Oct 21, 2026CF Montreal(away)1-1Canadian Championship
Oct 17, 2026Atlético Ottawa(away)2-1Canadian Premier League
Oct 12, 2026York United(home)5-0Canadian Premier League
Atlético Ottawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Forge(home)2-2Canadian Premier League
Oct 25, 2026York United(away)1-2Canadian Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Forge(home)1-2Canadian Premier League
Oct 11, 2026Pacific FC(away)2-0Canadian Premier League
Sep 30, 2026Cavalry FC(home)3-2Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Forge wins, 1 draw, 2 Atlético Ottawa wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Atlético Ottawa 2-2 ForgeCanadian Premier League
Oct 17, 2026Atlético Ottawa 1-2 ForgeCanadian Premier League
Sep 12, 2026Forge 3-0 Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League
May 24, 2026Atlético Ottawa 2-1 ForgeCanadian Premier League
Apr 4, 2026Forge 2-0 Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League
Oct 26, 2025Forge 1-2 Atlético OttawaCanadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: Atlético Ottawa vs Forge on Nov 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Forge score 1.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético Ottawa score 1.6 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Forge1.80.959/156/15
Atlético Ottawa1.61.549/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Forge sit 2nd in Canadian Premier League (58 points from 28 matches) and Atlético Ottawa sit 3rd (43 points from 28 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Forge281774492258
3Atlético Ottawa2813411424543

A question about Forge vs Atlético Ottawa?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Forge vs Atlético Ottawa?
The Footlab AI model makes Forge the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Atlético Ottawa.
Where and when is Forge vs Atlético Ottawa played?
Forge vs Atlético Ottawa is played on November 7, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Hamilton Stadium, in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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