Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova: result 3-2 and analysis
Serie CRegular Season - 2Kick-off on May 23, 2015 at 10:30 PM (UTC)Estádio Governador Plácido Aderaldo Castelo, Fortaleza, Ceará
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What was the result of Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova?
Fortaleza EC won 3-2 on May 23, 2015.
Goalscorers
- 10′Willian Lanes Lanes de LimaFortaleza EC
- 22′RadarVila Nova (o.g.)
- 36′Carlos Esteban FrontiniVila Nova
- 60′Willian Lanes Lanes de LimaFortaleza EC
- 63′MaranhãoFortaleza EC
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortaleza EC have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeats; Vila Nova have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2015 | Icasa(away) | 2-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 25, 2014 | Macaé(home) | 1-1 | Serie C |
| Oct 18, 2014 | Macaé(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Oct 4, 2014 | ASA(home) | 3-2 | Serie C |
| Sep 28, 2014 | Botafogo PB(away) | 0-0 | Serie C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2015 | Cuiaba(home) | 1-0 | Serie C |
| Nov 28, 2014 | Portuguesa(away) | 3-2 | Serie B |
| Nov 21, 2014 | ABC(home) | 3-5 | Serie B |
| Nov 18, 2014 | Vasco DA Gama(away) | 1-3 | Serie B |
| Nov 14, 2014 | Oeste(home) | 0-1 | Serie B |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortaleza EC score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Vila Nova score 1.3 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortaleza EC | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Vila Nova | 1.3 | 2.2 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy