Fortis vs Abahani: prediction and stats
Federation CupGroup StageKick-off on January 19, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC)Bashundhara Kings Arena, Dhaka
The Footlab AI model makes Fortis the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Abahani. The most likely score is 1-1. If Fortis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,457 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortis vs Abahani?
On Elo ratings, Fortis has 1,499 points and Abahani 1,541.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortis vs Abahani
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortis
4-3-3- 10P. Babou
- 19M. Ibrahim
- 9S. Chukwude
- 8A. K. Ghazi A.
- 13A. Fahad
- 6M. Mona
- 2R. Hossain
- 3M. Mithu Chowdhury
- 23M. Alam
- 4E. Jallow
- 1Weerasinghe Sinnath Thommelage Don Sujan Perera
Abahani
4-3-3- 77A. Moin
- 9Al-Amin
- 23M. Islam
- 15R. Hasan
- 18Nazmul Huda Faysal
- 12Michael Babatunde
- 13K. Islam
- 4Y. Khan
- 3M. Bablu
- 2H. Murad
- 1Mahfuz Pritom
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortis have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Abahani have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Brothers Union(away) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | City Club(home) | 3-3 | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Fakirerpool(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 6-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Muras United(home) | 1-0 | AFC Challenge League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dhaka Wanderers(away) | 5-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Chattogram(home) | 1-1 | Federation Cup |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PWD Sports Club(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | Arambagh(away) | 4-0 | Premier League |
| May 15, 2026 | Bashundhara Kings(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fortis win, 3 draws, 2 Abahani wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2026 | Abahani 1-0 Fortis | Premier League |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Fortis 0-0 Abahani | Premier League |
| May 17, 2025 | Abahani 1-2 Fortis | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2025 | Fortis 0-0 Abahani | Premier League |
| Apr 30, 2024 | Fortis 1-3 Abahani | Federation Cup |
| Apr 5, 2024 | Abahani 1-1 Fortis | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Fortis score 2.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Abahani score 2.0 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortis | 2.5 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Abahani | 2.0 | 0.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Fortis vs Abahani?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortis vs Abahani?
- The Footlab AI model makes Fortis the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 24% for Abahani.
- Where and when is Fortis vs Abahani played?
- Fortis vs Abahani is played on January 19, 2027 at 08:30 AM (UTC) at Bashundhara Kings Arena, in the Federation Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 22, 2026Fortis1-1Fakirerpool
- Sep 23, 2026Brothers Union0-0Rahmatgonj MFS
- Sep 25, 2026Abahani1-1Chattogram
- Oct 6, 2026Mohammedan Dhaka3-1Arambagh
- Oct 6, 2026Bangladesh Police1-1City Club
- Oct 6, 2026Dhaka Wanderers0-5Bashundhara Kings
- Oct 13, 2026Rahmatgonj MFS1-3Chattogram
- Oct 13, 2026Brothers Union4-1Fakirerpool