Fortuna Köln II vs Bornheim: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 13Kick-off on December 6, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Jean-Löring-Sportpark, Köln
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln II the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Bornheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Köln II vs Bornheim?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate Fortuna Köln II (1,757) and Bornheim (1,799).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Köln II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Bornheim have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(away) | 5-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | SF Düren(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(home) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bornheim(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Hennef 05(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(home) | 3-6 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Düren Merzenich(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 3, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Fortuna Köln II win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bornheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II 0-3 Bornheim | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Bornheim 2-3 Fortuna Köln II | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: Fortuna Köln II vs Bornheim on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Köln II score 2.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bornheim score 2.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Köln II | 2.2 | 1.9 | 3 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Bornheim | 2.3 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Köln II sit 10th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (45 points from 30 matches) and Bornheim sit 8th (46 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bornheim | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 65 | 56 | 46 |
| 10 | Fortuna Köln II | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 62 | 47 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Köln II vs Bornheim?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Köln II the favourite at 41%, against 21% for a draw and 37% for Bornheim.
- Where and when is Fortuna Köln II vs Bornheim played?
- Fortuna Köln II vs Bornheim is played on December 6, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Jean-Löring-Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.