Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Projekt 29 Arena, Regensburg
The Footlab AI model makes Cham the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Fortuna Regensburg. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cham wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham?
Cham starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,935 vs 1,806).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fortuna Regensburg
Not enough data to predict the Fortuna Regensburg lineup.
Cham
Not enough data to predict the Cham lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 11:35 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Regensburg have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Cham have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Gebenbach(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stadeln(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Großbardorf(home) | 6-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Eintracht Bamberg(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Neudrossenfeld(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Ingolstadt II(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fortuna Regensburg win, 0 draws, 5 Cham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cham 2-1 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg 1-3 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Cham 4-2 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Fortuna Regensburg 5-6 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Cham 5-2 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Cham 0-3 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Cham vs Fortuna Regensburg on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Regensburg score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cham score 2.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Regensburg | 2.3 | 1.6 | 0 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Cham | 2.1 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Regensburg sit 8th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (45 points from 32 matches) and Cham sit 2nd (62 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cham | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 62 |
| 8 | Fortuna Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 66 | 58 | 45 |
A question about Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Cham the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for Fortuna Regensburg.
- Where and when is Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham played?
- Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Projekt 29 Arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 20, 2026KornburgvsASV Neumarkt
- Nov 20, 2026WeidenvsDJK Bamberg
- Nov 21, 2026Bayern HofvsAmmerthal
- Nov 21, 2026Würzburger FVvsGroßbardorf
- Nov 21, 2026StadelnvsEintracht Bamberg
- Nov 21, 2026Viktoria AschaffenburgvsNordlingen
- Nov 21, 2026GebenbachvsNeudrossenfeld
- Nov 21, 2026Jahn Regensburg IIvsIngolstadt II