Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 20Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Projekt 29 Arena, Regensburg
The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Fortuna Regensburg. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham?
Cham starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,878 vs 1,770).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Regensburg have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Cham have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(away) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Gebenbach(home) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Stadeln(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fortuna Regensburg win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Cham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cham 2-1 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Fortuna Regensburg 1-3 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Cham 4-2 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Fortuna Regensburg 5-6 Cham | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Cham 5-2 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Cham 0-3 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Cham vs Fortuna Regensburg on Jul 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Regensburg score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Cham score 2.1 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Regensburg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Cham | 2.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Regensburg sit 8th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (45 points from 32 matches) and Cham sit 2nd (62 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cham | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | 62 | 35 | 62 |
| 8 | Fortuna Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 66 | 58 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham?
- The Footlab model makes Cham the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Fortuna Regensburg.
- Where and when is Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham played?
- Fortuna Regensburg vs Cham is played on November 21, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Projekt 29 Arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 20, 2026KornburgvsASV Neumarkt
- Nov 20, 2026WeidenvsDJK Bamberg
- Nov 21, 2026Bayern HofvsAmmerthal
- Nov 21, 2026Würzburger FVvsGroßbardorf
- Nov 21, 2026StadelnvsEintracht Bamberg
- Nov 21, 2026Viktoria AschaffenburgvsNordlingen
- Nov 21, 2026GebenbachvsNeudrossenfeld
- Nov 21, 2026Jahn Regensburg IIvsIngolstadt II