Fortuna Regensburg vs Ingolstadt II: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Bayern NordBayern Nord - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Projekt 29 Arena, Regensburg
The Footlab model makes Fortuna Regensburg the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Ingolstadt II. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fortuna Regensburg vs Ingolstadt II?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Fortuna Regensburg (1,777) and Ingolstadt II (1,780).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fortuna Regensburg have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Ingolstadt II have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Kornburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | ASV Neumarkt(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Ammerthal(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 7, 2026 | DJK Bamberg(home) | 5-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Cham(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Großbardorf(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Nordlingen(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Würzburger FV(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Viktoria Aschaffenburg(away) | 0-2 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Jahn Regensburg II(home) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Fortuna Regensburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Ingolstadt II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2026 | Ingolstadt II 2-2 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Fortuna Regensburg 3-1 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Fortuna Regensburg 1-1 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Ingolstadt II 1-1 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Ingolstadt II 0-1 Fortuna Regensburg | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Fortuna Regensburg 2-1 Ingolstadt II | Oberliga - Bayern Nord |
Last archived meeting: Ingolstadt II vs Fortuna Regensburg on May 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fortuna Regensburg score 2.1 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Ingolstadt II score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 75% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Regensburg | 2.1 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Ingolstadt II | 1.9 | 2.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fortuna Regensburg sit 8th in Oberliga - Bayern Nord (45 points from 32 matches) and Ingolstadt II sit 7th (48 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Ingolstadt II | 32 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 64 | 54 | 48 |
| 8 | Fortuna Regensburg | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 66 | 58 | 45 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fortuna Regensburg vs Ingolstadt II?
- The Footlab model makes Fortuna Regensburg the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Ingolstadt II.
- Where and when is Fortuna Regensburg vs Ingolstadt II played?
- Fortuna Regensburg vs Ingolstadt II is played on May 22, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Projekt 29 Arena, in the Oberliga - Bayern Nord.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.