Where and when is Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine played?

Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Breese Stevens Field, in the USL League One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine: prediction and stats

USL League OneGroup StageKick-off on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC)Breese Stevens Field

Forward Madison

Portland Hearts of Pine

The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Portland Hearts of Pine. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

A very open match: only 88 Elo points separate Forward Madison (1,730) and Portland Hearts of Pine (1,643).

Forward Madison win69 %

Draw18 %

Portland Hearts of Pine win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Forward Madison have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Portland Hearts of Pine have 2, 5 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Forward Madison
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Charlotte Independence(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine(away)	2-1	USL League One
Aug 13, 2026	Greenville Triumph(home)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 9, 2026	Boise(away)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 2, 2026	Westchester SC(home)	2-0	USL League One

Portland Hearts of Pine
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Richmond Kickers(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 19, 2026	One Knoxville(away)	1-1	USL League One
Aug 16, 2026	Forward Madison(home)	1-2	USL League One
Aug 8, 2026	Corpus Christi(home)	0-2	USL League One
Aug 1, 2026	Greenville Triumph(away)	3-3	USL League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Forward Madison win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Portland Hearts of Pine win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Portland Hearts of Pine 1-2 Forward Madison	USL League One
Oct 4, 2025	Portland Hearts of Pine 1-3 Forward Madison	USL League One
May 24, 2025	Forward Madison 1-1 Portland Hearts of Pine	USL League One

Last archived meeting: Portland Hearts of Pine vs Forward Madison on Aug 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Forward Madison score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Hearts of Pine score 1.6 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Forward Madison	2.2	1.1	3	10/15	8/15
Portland Hearts of Pine	1.6	2.3	0	14/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Forward Madison sit 3rd in USL League One (40 points from 21 matches) and Portland Hearts of Pine sit 13th (23 points from 22 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Forward Madison	21	12	4	5	41	22	40
13	Portland Hearts of Pine	22	5	8	9	32	37	23

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine?: The Footlab model makes Forward Madison the favourite at 69%, against 18% for a draw and 13% for Portland Hearts of Pine.
Where and when is Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine played?: Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine is played on October 17, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC) at Breese Stevens Field, in the USL League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.