Fraga vs Épila: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 17Group 17 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de La Estacada, Fraga
The Footlab AI model makes Épila the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Fraga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Épila wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.9% of the 1,758 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fraga vs Épila?
Épila starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,793 vs 1,648).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fraga vs Épila
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fraga
4-3-3- CCésar
- RRamón Sanjuan Navarro
- AAlexis Quibus Berenguer
- MMarc García
- NNicolás Puch Ricart
- IIker Bautista
- MMarcel Ormo Suñé
- GGenís Serra
- IIván Combes
- IIvan Visa
- DDavid Jimenez Julian
Épila
Not enough data to predict the Épila lineup.
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fraga have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Épila have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Real Zaragoza II(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Huesca II(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atlético Monzón(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Almudévar(home) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Robres(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | Caspe(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Almunia(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | CDJ Tamarite(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Andorra CF(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | CD Sietamo(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Fraga wins, 4 draws, 2 Épila wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Fraga 1-1 Épila | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Épila 1-1 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Jan 28, 2024 | Épila 2-1 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Sep 10, 2023 | Fraga 2-2 Épila | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| May 9, 2021 | Épila 1-1 Fraga | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
| Mar 28, 2021 | Fraga 0-2 Épila | Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 |
How many goals should we expect?
Fraga score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Épila score 1.3 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fraga | 0.9 | 1.4 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Épila | 1.3 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fraga sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 17 (8 points from 5 matches) and Épila sit 9th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Fraga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 8 |
| 9 | Épila | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Fraga vs Épila?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fraga vs Épila?
- The Footlab AI model makes Épila the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 27% for Fraga.
- Where and when is Fraga vs Épila played?
- Fraga vs Épila is played on October 18, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Estacada, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 17.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.