France vs England: result 4-6 and analysis
World Cup3rd Place FinalKick-off on July 18, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Groupama Stadium, Saint-Denis
Full time
What was the result of France vs England?
England won 4-6 on July 18, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 3′D. RiceEngland
- 18′E. KonsaEngland
- 37′B. SakaEngland
- 45′B. SakaEngland
- 48′Kylian MbappéFrance
- 54′B. BarcolaFrance
- 66′Kylian MbappéFrance
- 87′B. SakaEngland (pen.)
- 90′O. DembéléFrance
- 90′J. BellinghamEngland
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab model gave a France win at 45%: prediction missed. Most likely score announced: 1-1 — actual score: 4-6.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, France have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; England have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 26, 2026 | Norway(away) | 4-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Iraq(home) | 3-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 16, 2026 | Senegal(home) | 3-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Northern Ireland(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Ivory Coast(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | Argentina(home) | 1-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Panama(away) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2026 | Ghana(home) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Croatia(home) | 4-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 10, 2026 | Costa Rica(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 France win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 England win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2022 | England 1-2 France | World Cup |
| Jun 13, 2017 | France 3-2 England | Friendlies |
| Jun 11, 2012 | France 1-1 England | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
France score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; England score 2.1 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
| England | 2.1 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
France sit 2nd in World Cup (3 points from 1 matches) and England sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy