France vs Germany: result 0-1 and analysis
World CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on July 4, 2014 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Groupama Stadium, Saint-Denis
Full time
What was the result of France vs Germany?
Germany won 0-1 on July 4, 2014.
Goalscorers
- 12′M. HummelsGermany
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, France have 4 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Germany have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2014 | Nigeria(home) | 2-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 25, 2014 | Ecuador(away) | 0-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 20, 2014 | Switzerland(away) | 5-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 15, 2014 | Honduras(home) | 3-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 23, 2012 | Spain(away) | 0-2 | Euro Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 30, 2014 | Algeria(home) | 2-1 | World Cup |
| Jun 26, 2014 | USA(away) | 1-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 21, 2014 | Ghana(home) | 2-2 | World Cup |
| Jun 16, 2014 | Portugal(home) | 4-0 | World Cup |
| Jun 28, 2012 | Italy(home) | 1-2 | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
France score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 14; Germany score 2.1 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | 1.1 | 1.2 | 6 | 4/14 | 4/14 |
| Germany | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
France sit 2nd in World Cup (3 points from 1 matches) and Germany sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | France | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy