Frechen vs SSV Merten: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 30Kick-off on June 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Kunstrasenplatz Kurt-Bornhoff-Sportpark, Frechen
The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Frechen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Frechen vs SSV Merten?
SSV Merten starts as the favourite with a 140-point Elo edge (1,945 vs 1,806).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Frechen have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; SSV Merten have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(home) | 7-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Porz(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | SF Düren(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Porz(home) | 8-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Frechen win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 SSV Merten win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Frechen 1-1 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 31, 2025 | SSV Merten 1-2 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Frechen 1-4 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Sep 22, 2024 | SSV Merten 4-0 Frechen | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
Frechen score 2.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; SSV Merten score 3.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 76% probability of over 2.5 goals and 74% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frechen | 2.1 | 2.1 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| SSV Merten | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Frechen sit 7th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (50 points from 30 matches) and SSV Merten sit 4th (60 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SSV Merten | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 80 | 28 | 60 |
| 7 | Frechen | 30 | 16 | 2 | 12 | 66 | 54 | 50 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Frechen vs SSV Merten?
- The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 50%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Frechen.
- Where and when is Frechen vs SSV Merten played?
- Frechen vs SSV Merten is played on June 13, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Kunstrasenplatz Kurt-Bornhoff-Sportpark, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 76% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.