Freeport vs Heaven Eleven: prediction and stats
LFA First DivisionRegular Season - 6Kick-off on November 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)TUSA Sport Field, Monrovia
The Footlab AI model makes Heaven Eleven the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Freeport. The most likely score is 1-1. If Heaven Eleven wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,453 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Freeport vs Heaven Eleven?
Heaven Eleven starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,600 vs 1,470).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Freeport vs Heaven Eleven
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Freeport
Not enough data to predict the Freeport lineup.
Heaven Eleven
Not enough data to predict the Heaven Eleven lineup.
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 01:20 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Freeport have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Heaven Eleven have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Golden Dream(away) | 2-0 | LFA First Division |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Paynesville(home) | 2-5 | LFA First Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Discoveries(away) | 2-1 | LFA First Division |
| Oct 22, 2026 | LISCR(home) | 1-0 | LFA First Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | LPRC Oilers(away) | 2-0 | LFA First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Shaita(home) | 1-0 | LFA First Division |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Downtown(away) | 4-0 | LFA First Division |
| Oct 25, 2026 | NPA Anchors(home) | 0-1 | LFA First Division |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Wologizi(away) | 3-0 | LFA First Division |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Borough(away) | 1-1 | LFA First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Freeport win, 0 draws, 5 Heaven Eleven wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2026 | Freeport 1-2 Heaven Eleven | LFA First Division |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Heaven Eleven 4-2 Freeport | LFA First Division |
| Apr 10, 2025 | Freeport 3-2 Heaven Eleven | LFA First Division |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Heaven Eleven 3-2 Freeport | LFA First Division |
| Apr 6, 2024 | Heaven Eleven 2-0 Freeport | LFA First Division |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Freeport 1-3 Heaven Eleven | LFA First Division |
Last archived meeting: Freeport vs Heaven Eleven on Apr 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Freeport score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Heaven Eleven score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freeport | 1.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Heaven Eleven | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Freeport sit 5th in LFA First Division (9 points from 4 matches) and Heaven Eleven sit 6th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Freeport | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 9 |
| 6 | Heaven Eleven | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
A question about Freeport vs Heaven Eleven?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Freeport vs Heaven Eleven?
- The Footlab AI model makes Heaven Eleven the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Freeport.
- Where and when is Freeport vs Heaven Eleven played?
- Freeport vs Heaven Eleven is played on November 4, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at TUSA Sport Field, in the LFA First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.