French Guyana vs St. Vincent / Grenadines: prediction and stats
CONCACAF Nations LeagueLeague B - 4Kick-off on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Stade Georges Chaumet, Cayenne
The Footlab AI model makes French Guyana the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for St. Vincent / Grenadines. The most likely score is 1-1. If French Guyana wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,545 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win French Guyana vs St. Vincent / Grenadines?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate French Guyana (1,525) and St. Vincent / Grenadines (1,481).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for French Guyana vs St. Vincent / Grenadines
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
French Guyana
4-2-3-1- 10Jules Haabo
- 19Y. Nozile
- 6T. Torvic
- 21Calvin Soga
- 7S. Alontoesa
- 12Augustin Kwasiba
- 17Thomas Georges Vancaeyezeele
- 22Y. Marmot
- 6Y. Salmier
- 13M. Colino
- 1K. Bonnevie
St. Vincent / Grenadines
Not enough data to predict the St. Vincent / Grenadines lineup.
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 06:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, French Guyana have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; St. Vincent / Grenadines have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2026 | Belize(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Belize(away) | 2-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Sint Maarten(home) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | St. Vincent / Grenadines(away) | 1-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Belize(home) | 2-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Sint Maarten(home) | 4-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sint Maarten(away) | 4-2 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Belize(away) | 1-0 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Sep 26, 2026 | French Guyana(home) | 2-1 | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Barbados(away) | 3-2 | CONCACAF Series |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 French Guyana wins, 0 draws, 2 St. Vincent / Grenadines wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | St. Vincent / Grenadines 2-1 French Guyana | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 16, 2023 | French Guyana 3-2 St. Vincent / Grenadines | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 13, 2023 | St. Vincent / Grenadines 1-4 French Guyana | CONCACAF Nations League |
| Oct 11, 2018 | French Guyana 0-1 St. Vincent / Grenadines | CONCACAF Nations League - Qualification |
Last archived meeting: St. Vincent / Grenadines vs French Guyana on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
French Guyana score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; St. Vincent / Grenadines score 2.7 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| French Guyana | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| St. Vincent / Grenadines | 2.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about French Guyana vs St. Vincent / Grenadines?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for French Guyana vs St. Vincent / Grenadines?
- The Footlab AI model makes French Guyana the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for St. Vincent / Grenadines.
- Where and when is French Guyana vs St. Vincent / Grenadines played?
- French Guyana vs St. Vincent / Grenadines is played on November 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Georges Chaumet, in the CONCACAF Nations League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026St. Vincent / Grenadines2-1French Guyana
- Sep 27, 2026Sint Maarten0-1Belize
- Sep 29, 2026French Guyana1-0Sint Maarten
- Sep 30, 2026Belize0-1St. Vincent / Grenadines
- Oct 3, 2026Sint Maarten2-4St. Vincent / Grenadines
- Oct 4, 2026Belize0-2French Guyana
- Oct 6, 2026St. Vincent / Grenadines4-0Sint Maarten
- Oct 7, 2026French Guyana1-0Belize