Fylkir vs Valur Reykjavik: prediction and stats
Reykjavik CupGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Würth völlurinn, Reykjavík
The Footlab AI model makes Valur Reykjavik the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Fylkir. The most likely score is 1-1. If Valur Reykjavik wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,881 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Fylkir vs Valur Reykjavik?
A very open match: only 31 Elo points separate Fylkir (1,680) and Valur Reykjavik (1,710).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Fylkir vs Valur Reykjavik
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Fylkir
4-3-3- 70G. Tyrfingsson
- 11M. Ottesen
- 9E. Wöhler
- 6G. Leósson
- 20T. Óskarsson
- 4H. Jónsson
- 3Arnor Asthorsson
- 77Steinsen Arnarsson Bjarki
- 23Aron Guðbjörnsson
- 25J. Baldursson
- 1Ó. Helgason
Valur Reykjavik
4-3-3- 17L. Heimisson
- 19Dagur Gardarson
- 12T. Haraldsson
- 5Kristofer Arnarsson
- 7S. Friðjónsson
- 24M. Veldman
- 4M. Nakkim
- 3H. Gunnarsson
- 21J. Pálsson
- 15H. Eyjólfsson
- 25S. Ágústsson
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 04:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Fylkir have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Valur Reykjavik have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Throttur Reykjavik(away) | 0-1 | 1. Deild |
| Sep 13, 2026 | HK Kopavogur(home) | 2-2 | 1. Deild |
| Sep 9, 2026 | HK Kopavogur(away) | 3-2 | 1. Deild |
| Sep 5, 2026 | HK Kopavogur(away) | 1-2 | 1. Deild |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Grotta(home) | 3-1 | 1. Deild |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Stjarnan(away) | 0-6 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Oct 17, 2026 | KA Akureyri(home) | 4-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Oct 10, 2026 | FH hafnarfjordur(home) | 3-5 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Sep 20, 2026 | IBV Vestmannaeyjar(away) | 1-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Thor Akureyri(home) | 4-1 | Úrvalsdeild |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Fylkir win, 1 draw, 4 Valur Reykjavik wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Fylkir 5-0 Valur Reykjavik | Reykjavik Cup |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Fylkir 2-3 Valur Reykjavik | League Cup |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Fylkir 1-3 Valur Reykjavik | Reykjavik Cup |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Valur Reykjavik 4-0 Fylkir | Úrvalsdeild |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Fylkir 0-0 Valur Reykjavik | Úrvalsdeild |
| Feb 4, 2024 | Valur Reykjavik 4-0 Fylkir | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Fylkir vs Valur Reykjavik on Jan 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Fylkir score 2.4 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Valur Reykjavik score 1.9 and concede 2.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fylkir | 2.4 | 1.8 | 0 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Valur Reykjavik | 1.9 | 2.4 | 1 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Fylkir sit 3rd in Reykjavik Cup (4 points from 3 matches) and Valur Reykjavik sit 4th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Fylkir | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| 4 | Valur Reykjavik | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
A question about Fylkir vs Valur Reykjavik?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Fylkir vs Valur Reykjavik?
- The Footlab AI model makes Valur Reykjavik the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Fylkir.
- Where and when is Fylkir vs Valur Reykjavik played?
- Fylkir vs Valur Reykjavik is played on January 9, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Würth völlurinn, in the Reykjavik Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.