Gaddafi vs Arua Hill: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 21, 2024 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Fisheries Training Institute Play Ground, Entebbe
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gaddafi have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Arua Hill have 1, 2 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | Vipers(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Feb 2, 2024 | URA(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Express(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2024 | BUL(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 30, 2023 | Maroons(away) | 0-5 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2024 | NEC(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jan 3, 2024 | Express(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Dec 28, 2023 | Kitara(away) | 1-7 | Premier League |
| Dec 20, 2023 | Maroons(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Dec 10, 2023 | URA(away) | 1-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Gaddafi win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Arua Hill win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2023 | Arua Hill 0-1 Gaddafi | Premier League |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Arua Hill 2-1 Gaddafi | Premier League |
| Nov 23, 2022 | Gaddafi 2-0 Arua Hill | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2022 | Arua Hill 1-1 Gaddafi | Premier League |
| Nov 19, 2021 | Gaddafi 1-0 Arua Hill | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gaddafi score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arua Hill score 0.8 and concede 2.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaddafi | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Arua Hill | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy