Gamo Chencha vs Adama Kenema: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 25Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Adama Kenema the favourite at 37%, against 36% for a draw and 27% for Gamo Chencha. The most likely score is 0-0. If Adama Kenema wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,327 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gamo Chencha vs Adama Kenema?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Gamo Chencha (1,443) and Adama Kenema (1,493).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Gamo Chencha vs Adama Kenema
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Gamo Chencha
Not enough data to predict the Gamo Chencha lineup.
Adama Kenema
4-3-3- 18Abubeker Sani
- 15A. Elias
- 12D. Hotessa
- 16A. Sisay
- 25W. Gadissa
- 9N. Nuri
- 29Mujib Kassim Hamza
- 6M. Abdulkarim
- 21S. Yohannes
- 15M. Awol
- 1A. Markos
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 05:12 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Gamo Chencha have 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats; Adama Kenema have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2026 | Awassa Kenema(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Ethiopia Nigd Bank(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Mekelakeya(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ethiopian Medhin(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Ethiopia Bunna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2026 | Negelle Arsi(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | Kedus Giorgis(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Sheger Ketema(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Mebrat Hayl(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
Gamo Chencha score 0.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 4; Adama Kenema score 0.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 23% probability of over 2.5 goals and 32% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamo Chencha | 0.3 | 1.3 | 1 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
| Adama Kenema | 0.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gamo Chencha sit 18th in Premier League (1 point from 4 matches) and Adama Kenema sit 10th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Adama Kenema | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 18 | Gamo Chencha | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
A question about Gamo Chencha vs Adama Kenema?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gamo Chencha vs Adama Kenema?
- The Footlab AI model makes Adama Kenema the favourite at 37%, against 36% for a draw and 27% for Gamo Chencha.
- Where and when is Gamo Chencha vs Adama Kenema played?
- Gamo Chencha vs Adama Kenema is played on April 3, 2027 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 23% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Awassa KenemavsNegelle Arsi
- Apr 3, 2027MekelakeyavsFasil Ketema
- Apr 3, 2027Sidama BunnavsSheger Ketema
- Apr 3, 2027Welayta DichavsMebrat Hayl
- Apr 3, 2027Ethiopia Nigd BankvsBahardar
- Apr 3, 2027Hadiya HosaenavsEthiopia Bunna
- Apr 3, 2027Ethiopian MedhinvsWelwalo Adigrat Uni
- Apr 3, 2027Halaba KetemavsKedus Giorgis