Gelbison vs Messina: result 0-1 and analysis
Serie D - Girone IGroup I - 12Kick-off on November 16, 2025 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Marcello Torre, Pagani
Full time
What was the result of Gelbison vs Messina?
Messina won 0-1 on November 16, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 52′614184Messina
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gelbison have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Messina have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Igea Virtus(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Savoia(home) | 2-6 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Vigor Lamezia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Vibonese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Ragusa(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Vibonese(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Nissa(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 26, 2025 | CastrumFavara(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Sambiase(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone I |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Reggina(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone I |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Gelbison win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Messina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2023 | Messina 1-0 Gelbison | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| May 6, 2023 | Gelbison 1-0 Messina | Serie C - Relegation - Play-offs |
| Feb 12, 2023 | Gelbison 1-2 Messina | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Messina 0-1 Gelbison | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Gelbison score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Messina score 0.9 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gelbison | 1.3 | 1.3 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Messina | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gelbison sit 5th in Serie D - Girone I (60 points from 34 matches) and Messina sit 16th (32 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Gelbison | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 44 | 32 | 60 |
| 16 | Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28 | 33 | 32 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy