Match

Génesis vs Atletico Independiente: prediction and stats

Liga NacionalApertura - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Roberto Suazo Córdova, La Paz

GénesisAtletico Independiente

The Footlab AI model makes Génesis the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Atletico Independiente. The most likely score is 1-1. If Génesis wins, the most likely score is 1-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 6,188 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Génesis vs Atletico Independiente?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Génesis (1,615) and Atletico Independiente (1,576).

47%26%27%
Génesis winDrawAtletico Independiente win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Génesis vs Atletico Independiente

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Génesis

4-3-3
  1. 11B. Felix
  2. 24C. Fonseca
  3. 14Cesar Guillen
  1. 15E. Maldonado
  2. 10W. Martínez
  3. 33Daniel Melendez
  1. 26C. Canales
  2. 27J. Figueroa
  3. 2A. Vargas
  4. 44M. Gamboa
  1. 1D. Rodriguez

Atletico Independiente

Not enough data to predict the Atletico Independiente lineup.

Computed on November 15, 2026 at 02:18 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Génesis have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Atletico Independiente have 2, 7 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Génesis
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Platense FC(away)4-2Liga Nacional
Nov 5, 2026Real Espana(home)1-1Liga Nacional
Oct 31, 2026Lobos Upnfm(away)3-4Liga Nacional
Oct 24, 2026Atlético Choloma(away)1-3Liga Nacional
Oct 10, 2026CD Olimpia(home)0-1Liga Nacional
Atletico Independiente
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 8, 2026Real Espana(home)1-1Liga Nacional
Nov 5, 2026Atlético Choloma(away)0-0Liga Nacional
Oct 25, 2026CD Marathon(home)2-2Liga Nacional
Oct 18, 2026Lobos Upnfm(home)0-4Liga Nacional
Oct 11, 2026Olancho(away)1-1Liga Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

In the last meeting: 0 Génesis wins, 1 draw, 0 Atletico Independiente wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Atletico Independiente 1-1 GénesisLiga Nacional

Last archived meeting: Atletico Independiente vs Génesis on Aug 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Génesis score 1.4 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Atletico Independiente score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Génesis1.41.448/157/15
Atletico Independiente0.91.628/136/13

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Génesis sit 8th in Liga Nacional (15 points from 14 matches) and Atletico Independiente sit 10th (13 points from 14 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Génesis14437201915
10Atletico Independiente14275122213

A question about Génesis vs Atletico Independiente?

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Génesis vs Atletico Independiente?
The Footlab AI model makes Génesis the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Atletico Independiente.
Where and when is Génesis vs Atletico Independiente played?
Génesis vs Atletico Independiente is played on November 21, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Roberto Suazo Córdova, in the Liga Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.