Germany vs Italy: result 1-2 and analysis
Euro ChampionshipSemi-finalsKick-off on June 28, 2012 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
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What was the result of Germany vs Italy?
Italy won 1-2 on June 28, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 20′M. BalotelliItaly
- 36′M. BalotelliItaly
- 90′M. ÖzilGermany (pen.)
Official lineup for Germany vs Italy
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Germany
- 10Ł. Podolski
- 23M. Gómez
- 6S. Khedira
- 7B. Schweinsteiger
- 8M. Özil
- 18T. Kroos
- 5M. Hummels
- 14H. Badstuber
- 16P. Lahm
- 20J. Boateng
- 1M. Neuer
Italy
- 9M. Balotelli
- 10Antonio Cassano
- 8C. Marchisio
- 16D. De Rossi
- 18Riccardo Montolivo
- 21Andrea Pirlo
- 3G. Chiellini
- 6F. Balzaretti
- 15Andrea Barzagli
- 19L. Bonucci
- 1G. Buffon
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germany have 12 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Italy have 3, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 22, 2012 | Greece(home) | 4-2 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 17, 2012 | Denmark(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 13, 2012 | Netherlands(away) | 2-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 9, 2012 | Portugal(home) | 1-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jul 10, 2010 | Uruguay(away) | 3-2 | World Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2012 | England(away) | 0-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 18, 2012 | Rep. Of Ireland(home) | 2-0 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 14, 2012 | Croatia(home) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 10, 2012 | Spain(away) | 1-1 | Euro Championship |
| Jun 24, 2010 | Slovakia(away) | 2-3 | World Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Germany score 2.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Italy score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 2.1 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Italy | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/14 | 4/14 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Germany sit 1st in Euro Championship (7 points from 3 matches) and Italy sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GermanyGroup A | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | ItalyGroup B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
A question about Germany vs Italy?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy