Germany vs Mexico: result 4-1 and analysis
Confederations CupSemi-finalsKick-off on June 29, 2017 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau
Full time
What was the result of Germany vs Mexico?
Germany won 4-1 on June 29, 2017.
Goalscorers
- 6′L. GoretzkaGermany
- 8′L. GoretzkaGermany
- 59′T. WernerGermany
- 89′M. FabiánMexico
- 90′A. YounesGermany
Official lineup for Germany vs Mexico
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Germany
3-4-3- 7J. Draxler
- 11T. Werner
- 13L. Stindl
- 3J. Hector
- 21S. Rudy
- 8L. Goretzka
- 6B. Henrichs
- 16A. Rüdiger
- 4M. Ginter
- 18J. Kimmich
- 22M. ter Stegen
Mexico
4-3-3- 20J. Aquino
- 14J. Hernández
- 9R. Jiménez
- 10Giovani dos Santos Ramírez
- 16H. Herrera
- 6J. dos Santos
- 23O. Alanís
- 15H. Moreno
- 2N. Araújo
- 7M. Layún
- 13G. Ochoa
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germany have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Mexico have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2017 | Cameroon(home) | 3-1 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 22, 2017 | Chile(home) | 1-1 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 19, 2017 | Australia(away) | 3-2 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 10, 2017 | San Marino(home) | 7-0 | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 6, 2017 | Denmark(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 29, 2017 | Ghana(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 24, 2017 | Russia(home) | 2-1 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 21, 2017 | New Zealand(home) | 2-1 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 18, 2017 | Portugal(away) | 2-2 | Confederations Cup |
| Jun 12, 2017 | USA(home) | 1-1 | World Cup - Qualification CONCACAF |
How many goals should we expect?
Germany score 2.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mexico score 1.6 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 2.8 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Mexico | 1.6 | 0.7 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Germany vs Mexico?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy