Germany vs Portugal: result 1-2 and analysis
UEFA Nations LeagueSemi-finalsKick-off on June 4, 2025 at 07:10 PM (UTC)Allianz Arena, München
Full time
What was the result of Germany vs Portugal?
Portugal won 1-2 on June 4, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 48′F. WirtzGermany
- 63′Francisco ConceiçãoPortugal
- 68′Cristiano RonaldoPortugal
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Germany have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Portugal have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Italy(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Italy(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 19, 2024 | Hungary(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Bosnia & Herzegovina(home) | 7-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 14, 2024 | Netherlands(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Nations League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | Denmark(home) | 5-2 | UEFA Nations League |
| Mar 20, 2025 | Denmark(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 18, 2024 | Croatia(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Poland(home) | 5-1 | UEFA Nations League |
| Oct 15, 2024 | Scotland(away) | 0-0 | UEFA Nations League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Germany win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Portugal win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2021 | Portugal 2-4 Germany | Euro Championship |
| Jun 16, 2014 | Germany 4-0 Portugal | World Cup |
| Jun 9, 2012 | Germany 1-0 Portugal | Euro Championship |
| Jun 19, 2008 | Portugal 2-3 Germany | Euro Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Germany score 2.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Portugal score 1.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany | 2.4 | 0.9 | 6 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Portugal | 1.8 | 0.9 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy