Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii vs Metalurgistul Cugir: prediction and stats
Liga III - Serie 7Group 7 - 2Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Stadionul Emilian Pavel, Ghiroda
The Footlab model makes Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Metalurgistul Cugir. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii vs Metalurgistul Cugir?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii (1,486) and Metalurgistul Cugir (1,452).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Metalurgistul Cugir have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 29, 2026 | Caransebes(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| May 16, 2026 | Timişul Şag(away) | 3-4 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 8, 2026 | Universitatea Alba Iulia(home) | 4-0 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| May 1, 2026 | CIL Blaj(away) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Progresul Pecica(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jiul Petroşani(home) | 0-1 | Cupa României |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Hidro Mecanica Sugag(away) | 10-0 | Cupa României |
| May 22, 2026 | Minaur Baia Mare(home) | 3-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 15, 2026 | Sănătatea Cluj(away) | 2-3 | Liga III - Play-offs |
| May 8, 2026 | Unirea Tășnad(home) | 1-1 | Liga III - Play-offs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Metalurgistul Cugir win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Metalurgistul Cugir 0-0 Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii | Liga III - Serie 7 |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii 1-0 Metalurgistul Cugir | Liga III - Serie 7 |
Last archived meeting: Metalurgistul Cugir vs Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Metalurgistul Cugir score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Metalurgistul Cugir | 1.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii sit 2nd in Liga III - Serie 7 (44 points from 6 matches) and Metalurgistul Cugir sit 4th (40 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Metalurgistul Cugir | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 40 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii vs Metalurgistul Cugir?
- The Footlab model makes Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii the favourite at 45%, against 24% for a draw and 31% for Metalurgistul Cugir.
- Where and when is Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii vs Metalurgistul Cugir played?
- Ghiroda şi Giarmata Vii vs Metalurgistul Cugir is played on September 5, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Stadionul Emilian Pavel, in the Liga III - Serie 7.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.