Where and when is Gölcükspor vs İnkılapspor played?

Gölcükspor vs İnkılapspor is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gölcük İhsaniye Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Gölcükspor vs İnkılapspor: prediction and stats

3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 24Kick-off on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gölcük İhsaniye Stadı, Gölcük

Gölcükspor

İnkılapspor

The Footlab model makes Gölcükspor the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for İnkılapspor. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Gölcükspor vs İnkılapspor?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Gölcükspor (1,498) and İnkılapspor (1,522).

Gölcükspor win39 %

Draw29 %

İnkılapspor win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gölcükspor have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; İnkılapspor have 4, 7 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Gölcükspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 1, 2023	Arnavutköy Belediyespor(away)	1-2	Türkiye Kupası
Oct 10, 2023	Bursaspor(away)	2-1	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 27, 2023	Bartınspor(home)	3-0	Türkiye Kupası
Sep 17, 2023	Gebzespor(home)	2-0	Türkiye Kupası
May 1, 2021	Arhavispor(home)	5-2	3. Lig - Group 3

İnkılapspor
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Apr 18, 2026	Yalova Yeşilovaspor(home)	1-0	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Edirnespor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Çankaya FK(home)	0-5	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 29, 2026	Bursa Yıldırımspor(away)	0-2	3. Lig - Group 1
Mar 25, 2026	İnegöl Kafkas Gençlik(home)	3-1	3. Lig - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Gölcükspor score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; İnkılapspor score 0.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Gölcükspor	1.6	1.6	2	10/15	10/15
İnkılapspor	0.8	1.2	5	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	İnkılapspor	30	7	14	9	23	36	35

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Gölcükspor vs İnkılapspor?: The Footlab model makes Gölcükspor the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for İnkılapspor.
Where and when is Gölcükspor vs İnkılapspor played?: Gölcükspor vs İnkılapspor is played on February 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gölcük İhsaniye Stadı, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.