Golden Arrows U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23: prediction and stats
Diski ChallengeMatchday 22Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, Durban
The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns U23 the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Golden Arrows U23. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 5,832 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Golden Arrows U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23?
Mamelodi Sundowns U23 starts as the favourite with a 234-point Elo edge (1,750 vs 1,516).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Golden Arrows U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Golden Arrows U23
Not enough data to predict the Golden Arrows U23 lineup.
Mamelodi Sundowns U23
Not enough data to predict the Mamelodi Sundowns U23 lineup.
Computed on November 14, 2026 at 02:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Golden Arrows U23 have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Mamelodi Sundowns U23 have 12, 1 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Marumo Gallants U23(home) | 4-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 31, 2026 | TS Galaxy U23(home) | 2-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Orlando Pirates U23(away) | 0-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Richards Bay U23(away) | 1-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chippa United U23(home) | 9-2 | Diski Challenge |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | AmaZulu U23(away) | 3-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Nov 8, 2026 | Sekhukhune United U23(away) | 2-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Polokwane City U23(home) | 1-1 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Chippa United U23(home) | 3-0 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 18, 2026 | TS Galaxy U23(away) | 2-1 | Diski Challenge |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Golden Arrows U23 win, 3 draws, 2 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Golden Arrows U23 3-2 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 3-2 Golden Arrows U23 | Diski Challenge |
| May 4, 2025 | Golden Arrows U23 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 3-0 Golden Arrows U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Feb 3, 2024 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 2-2 Golden Arrows U23 | Diski Challenge |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Golden Arrows U23 0-0 Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | Diski Challenge |
Last archived meeting: Golden Arrows U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23 on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Golden Arrows U23 score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Mamelodi Sundowns U23 score 2.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Golden Arrows U23 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | 2.2 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Golden Arrows U23 sit 3rd in Diski Challenge (15 points from 7 matches) and Mamelodi Sundowns U23 sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mamelodi Sundowns U23 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Golden Arrows U23 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | 15 |
A question about Golden Arrows U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Golden Arrows U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23?
- The Footlab AI model makes Mamelodi Sundowns U23 the favourite at 58%, against 20% for a draw and 22% for Golden Arrows U23.
- Where and when is Golden Arrows U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23 played?
- Golden Arrows U23 vs Mamelodi Sundowns U23 is played on March 21, 2027 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Sugar Ray Xulu Stadium, in the Diski Challenge.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 20, 2027AmaZulu U23vsChippa United U23
- Mar 20, 2027Kaizer Chiefs U23vsMilford FC U23
- Mar 20, 2027Durban City U23vsSiwelele U23
- Mar 20, 2027Orlando Pirates U23vsRichards Bay U23
- Mar 20, 2027Stellenbosch U23vsKruger United U23
- Mar 20, 2027Polokwane City U23vsTS Galaxy U23
- Mar 21, 2027Sekhukhune United U23vsMarumo Gallants U23