GOR Mahia vs Tusker: result 1-0 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 22, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
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What was the result of GOR Mahia vs Tusker?
GOR Mahia won 1-0 on November 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′621977GOR Mahia (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GOR Mahia have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Tusker have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Police(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Mathare United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 3-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | KCB(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | Police(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Bidco United(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 GOR Mahia win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Tusker win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | GOR Mahia 0-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Tusker 2-1 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 20, 2024 | GOR Mahia 1-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Tusker 0-1 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| May 28, 2023 | Tusker 0-0 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2023 | GOR Mahia 2-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
GOR Mahia score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tusker score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOR Mahia | 1.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Tusker | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GOR Mahia sit 1st in FKF Premier League (69 points from 34 matches) and Tusker sit 9th (45 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 50 | 22 | 69 |
| 9 | Tusker | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 27 | 32 | 45 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy