GOR Mahia vs Tusker: result 1-0 and analysis
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 10Kick-off on November 22, 2025 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Moi International Sports Centre, Nairobi
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What was the result of GOR Mahia vs Tusker?
GOR Mahia won 1-0 on November 22, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 7′621977GOR Mahia (o.g.)
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, GOR Mahia have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Tusker have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Police(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Ulinzi Stars(home) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 30, 2025 | Mathare United(away) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Posta Rangers FC(home) | 3-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 5, 2025 | KCB(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | Police(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Bidco United(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Homeboyz(away) | 1-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 2-1 | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Murang'a SEAL(away) | 1-0 | FKF Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 GOR Mahia wins, 2 draws, 1 Tusker win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2025 | GOR Mahia 0-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Tusker 2-1 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Jan 20, 2024 | GOR Mahia 1-0 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Tusker 0-1 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| May 28, 2023 | Tusker 0-0 GOR Mahia | FKF Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2023 | GOR Mahia 2-1 Tusker | FKF Premier League |
How many goals should we expect?
GOR Mahia score 1.4 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Tusker score 0.7 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOR Mahia | 1.4 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Tusker | 0.7 | 1.2 | 7 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
GOR Mahia sit 1st in FKF Premier League (12 points from 4 matches) and Tusker sit 11th (3 points from 1 match).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | GOR Mahia | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 12 |
| 11 | Tusker | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
A question about GOR Mahia vs Tusker?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy