Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Olimpia Grudziądz played?

Górnik Łęczna vs Olimpia Grudziądz is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Górnik Łęczna vs Olimpia Grudziądz: prediction and stats

II Liga - EastRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Bogdanka Arena, Łęczna

Górnik Łęczna

Olimpia Grudziądz

The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Górnik Łęczna. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Górnik Łęczna vs Olimpia Grudziądz?

Olimpia Grudziądz starts as the favourite with a 147-point Elo edge (1,924 vs 1,778).

Górnik Łęczna win28 %

Draw25 %

Olimpia Grudziądz win47 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Górnik Łęczna have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Olimpia Grudziądz have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Górnik Łęczna
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Sandecja Nowy Sącz(away)	1-1	II Liga - East
Aug 14, 2026	Podhale Nowy Targ(home)	5-2	II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026	Śląsk Wrocław II(away)	0-2	II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026	Kalisz(home)	2-0	Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Avia Świdnik(home)	0-1	II Liga - East

Olimpia Grudziądz
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away)	2-1	II Liga - East
Aug 16, 2026	Znicz Pruszków(away)	1-0	II Liga - East
Aug 9, 2026	Tychy 71(away)	1-1	II Liga - East
Aug 5, 2026	Świt Skolwin(home)	5-3	Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Lechia Zielona Góra(away)	2-2	II Liga - East

How many goals should we expect?

Górnik Łęczna score 1.3 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Olimpia Grudziądz score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Górnik Łęczna	1.3	1.9	1	8/15	8/15
Olimpia Grudziądz	1.9	1.5	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Górnik Łęczna sit 8th in II Liga - East (7 points from 5 matches) and Olimpia Grudziądz sit 7th (8 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	Olimpia Grudziądz	5	2	2	1	7	8	8
8	Górnik Łęczna	5	2	1	2	9	8	7

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Górnik Łęczna vs Olimpia Grudziądz?: The Footlab model makes Olimpia Grudziądz the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Górnik Łęczna.
Where and when is Górnik Łęczna vs Olimpia Grudziądz played?: Górnik Łęczna vs Olimpia Grudziądz is played on May 29, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Bogdanka Arena, in the II Liga - East.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.