Grafičar vs Dubočica: prediction and stats
Prva LigaRegular Season - 6Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Grafičara, Beograd
The Footlab model makes Grafičar the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Dubočica. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Grafičar vs Dubočica?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Grafičar (1,569) and Dubočica (1,489).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Grafičar have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Dubočica have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 2-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Semendrija 1924(home) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Napredak(away) | 0-1 | Prva Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Borac Cacak(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Borac Cacak(home) | 0-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | OFK Vršac(away) | 1-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Naftagas(away) | 3-2 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Loznica(home) | 0-0 | Prva Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FK Vozdovac(away) | 1-0 | Prva Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Grafičar win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Dubočica win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2026 | Grafičar 3-1 Dubočica | Prva Liga |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Grafičar 2-1 Dubočica | Prva Liga |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Dubočica 1-1 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Grafičar 1-1 Dubočica | Prva Liga |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Dubočica 1-3 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
| Dec 2, 2023 | Dubočica 2-1 Grafičar | Prva Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Grafičar score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Dubočica score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grafičar | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
| Dubočica | 1.0 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Grafičar sit 10th in Prva Liga (4 points from 4 matches) and Dubočica sit 8th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Dubočica | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Grafičar | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Grafičar vs Dubočica?
- The Footlab model makes Grafičar the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Dubočica.
- Where and when is Grafičar vs Dubočica played?
- Grafičar vs Dubočica is played on August 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Grafičara, in the Prva Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.